Description: Discusses how to use the Dependent Multivariate Fractional Brownian Motion, or DMFBM, function in the computer language R. The function can be used for, among other things, calculating quantities such as reserve requirements for a block of variable annuities with living benefit riders.

Description: This paper demonstrates the use of Quantile Regression in the development and understanding of conditional value at risk (VaR) models for enterprise risk management.

Description: In this article, the author compares risk identification to the computer game, FreeCell.

Description: This is the abstract of a paper in which the authors develop sixteen separate mortality models based on the current SOA mortality data being used for the preferred life study. The models are constructed using projection pursuit regression. The sixteen models arise from all combinations of sex, smoker status, select and ultimate status, and per life vs. per dollar mortality rates. In general the models confirm the following four facts: 1 Mortality rates increase as attained age increases. 2 Mortality rates increase as duration increases. 3 Mortality rates decrease as Face Amount Bands increase. 4. Mortality rates decrease if preferred underwriting is present.

Description: This paper addresses various modifications of the Kimeldorf-Jones Bayesian graduation method. These enhancements entail the use of time series and eigenvalue decomposition. By augmenting the existing method one can empirically smooth the Kimeldorf-Jones technique. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1991, VOL. 1.

Description: Full version of Risk Management, November 2004, Issue No. 3.

Description: This paper defines Distributable Earnings as the generalized pricing and valuation framework for financial contracts containing the requirement to hold capital or reserves in support of the obligations. It examines the Market Value paradigm and its foundation arising from the pricing of fixed income securities. It reconciles these two methods, showing that market value methods ignore mandatory capital and reserve requirements, which carry both risk and cost. The paper makes the case for the Distributable Earnings framework, not Market Value, as the true basis for economic value for these financial contracts. Finally, it concludes that this framework must be employed in risk-management processes, else fail to recognize a significant source of risk.

Description: This displays the result of the "fix(MyData)" command.

Description: Spreadsheet of sample calculations for extreme value theory. Extreme value analysis seeks to assess, from a given ordered sample of a given random variable, the probability of events that are more extreme than any observed prior.